Ok then, enough skirting round the issue. So dead men don't rise, right? Men who have been physically and psychological tortured and then killed by expert Roman executioners, laid in a tomb for two days with a Roman guard and a heavy stone across the entrance, and whose followers are a disheartened bunch of Galilean fishermen scared and pretty much ready to pack it in because their hopes for a political Messiah who would get shot of the Romans don't seem to have gone so well, do not generally leave the tomb, appear to their followers and spawn the world's largest religion. Except when they do. Thus (or words to that effect) goes the commonly given and reasonably compelling argument for what one of my classicist friends described today as "the best attested historical event in ancient history".
That account takes details from the gospel narratives (burial in Joseph of Arimathea's tomb, the Roman guard, the stone, the mood of the disciples) as coming from reliable contemporary historical sources. Now I'm no NT scholar, but it seems to me that the scholarly approach to the gospels is often dictated by preconceptions about whether Jesus is God. The one that's jumped out at me is the dating of Mark's gospel - often put by liberal scholars after AD 70 because it predicts the destruction of the temple. Fair enough, if Jesus wasn't God and didn't rise. However when you're trying to find out whether Jesus rose this is plain irritating. Talking to the above-mentioned classicist friend he was expressing frustration that the texts are treated differently by historians, theologians, classicists and NT scholars. All of which makes it very very difficult as a lay-person to wade through and figure out what the evidence really is. The best solution seems to be "assume very little, work on the basis that the gospels aren't reliable, and see where you end up".
So the next questions on the resurrection go along these lines:
1) What are the bits of evidence that no one can dispute
2) What are the possible explanations for those events
Now assuming one fights through that bit (not yet achieved on my part), this brings us to the next problem which is given different explanations, how do you assess them to arrive at your conclusion. I've spent a lot of time over the last few days reading different viewpoints on the resurrection, and there seem to be a couple of more rambling methodological questions
3) Does it matter which perspective you start from? Can you have a null hypothesis? If so, what is it? What happens if you can't reject either hypothesis? Mark W suggested starting by assuming the resurrection, since all other theories are a reaction to that original theory, which seems reasonable. Most arguments between Christians and atheists on the resurrection seem to get to an impasse because the atheist can't prove the non-existence of God and complains that this is attempting to prove a negative result and therefore impossible - a similar thing might happen with trying to prove that a historical event didn't occur. I'm not sure.... The problem is that people don't write historical documents entitled "a long list of things that didn't happen today, just so as we're quite clear 2000 years from now" and even if they did it would not be likely to be comprehensive!
4) How do you go about assessing the plausibility of a supernatural explanation? At least one liberal scholar suggests that Jesus had a long-lost identical twin brother who appeared after his death and fooled the disciples that he was the Risen Christ, in an effort to avoid a supernatural explanation for the resurrection appearances (though not the empty tomb). It certainly seems farfetched, but so does an infinite creator God who cares about tiny rebellious humans, to be perfectly frank. The muslims go to the opposite extreme - they prefer the idea of Allah mystically changing the appearance of someone else to
look like Jesus being crucified so as to avoid the conclusion of a resurrected Son of God. Makes perfect sense, if Allah is One God and has no Son. Of course it's more plausible.... This is that irritating "working from your conclusions backwards" thing again. I really hope I've missed something in the above two points or the whole-Christian-faith-hinging-on-the-resurrection is going to get very frustrating very fast.
I'm still thinking about this stuff and have appointments to grill people who know about these things... more stuff on the resurrection soon... For tonight, I admit that I don't know, that my puny little nearly-second-year-medic knowledge and experience is not up to ploughing through all this stuff. For now I rejoice to confess with generations of Christians since the earliest church: "Christ is Risen. He is risen indeed. Hallelujah!" and to trust that God saved me by his own power and will keep me by his own power and for his own name's sake.
[For those who have boundless time and energy, a lot of these ideas are garnered from a
debate between William Lane Craig (prominent Christian scholar and apologist) and Bart D. Erhman (interesting if wading through heated debates is your thing). I also came across interesting comments on the debate in
this blog, where some conservative Catholics discuss the issues.]